TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 6:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Spirit and PARIVISION compete in the first map of their Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 12, 2026. The winner of this map will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and PARIVISION scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution occurs when one team achieves victory on the designated map during this official tournament match.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly into prices, which can lead to sharper or earlier signals than traditional betting lines, especially when new information emerges close to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and offers on the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the spread between the highest bid and lowest ask. As more traders participate, the price tightens and becomes more reflective of consensus. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price or accept the current ask or bid instantly.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result of Map 1, with no ambiguity about which team prevailed. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift as new information or analysis emerges.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Team roster changes, injury announcements, or recent performance updates in competitive play can alter trader expectations. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, or betting-line movements from sportsbooks may also influence sentiment. Closer to the event, warm-up results, map selection strategy, or live commentary during the match itself could trigger sharp repricing as new information becomes available to the trading community.