TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 7:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Spirit and PARIVISION will compete in a Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the match.
Resolution is based on the result of the Esports World Cup 2026: Team Spirit vs. PARIVISION Dota 2 match scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match, or in the event of a tie.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may price the outcome differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially if one venue attracts more informed esports specialists or if liquidity is concentrated on one side. Comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest or where sharp money is flowing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last matched trade, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position. Wider spreads indicate lower liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest active two-sided trading. Volume and open interest help you assess how much capital is committed to this outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the final score or winner announced by the event organizers or major esports news outlets. Until that point, traders can buy or sell shares based on their expectations. Early resolution is possible if the match is cancelled or postponed; any such changes would be communicated through the platform.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, recent team performance and win streaks, player injuries or roster changes, and pre-match commentary from esports analysts. Tournament seeding, map selection, and head-to-head historical records often influence trader positioning. Media coverage highlighting one team's form or strategic advantages can shift odds sharply. Betting syndicates and professional esports traders may also move the market if they identify value, so monitoring esports news and team social media can help you stay ahead of price moves.