TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 1:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Secret Whales and Hanwha Life Esports compete in the third map of their League of Legends match at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 on July 2, 2026. The winner of this individual map will determine the outcome of this market.
Resolution is determined by the winner of Map 3 in the scheduled Mid-Season Invitational 2026 League of Legends match between Team Secret Whales and Hanwha Life Esports on July 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM EDT. Whichever team wins the map will cause the corresponding market to resolve affirmatively.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if professional esports betting receives less mainstream attention. Comparing the two can reveal where casual versus sophisticated traders disagree on the likely outcome, though both sources provide valuable context for assessing the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of active traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing prices to move. This continuous price discovery process ensures the market reflects up-to-date expectations right up until the event resolves.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Map 3 result is confirmed and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result reported by the esports league or tournament organizers. Traders should monitor official announcements and credible esports news outlets as the event date approaches to stay informed about any schedule changes or other developments that might affect timing.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Team roster changes, player injuries, or recent performance trends in qualifying rounds may influence trader expectations. Patch updates or meta shifts in the underlying game can alter strategic matchups. Public statements from team management or analysts may sway sentiment. Additionally, results from earlier maps in the series, if applicable, could provide new information that traders incorporate into their probability estimates. Monitoring esports news and team social media helps traders stay ahead of market-moving developments.