TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 12:29 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Secret Whales and Hanwha Life Esports compete in the second map of their League of Legends match at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 on July 2, 2026. The winner of this individual map will determine the outcome of this market.
Resolution is determined by the winner of Map 2 in the scheduled Mid-Season Invitational 2026 League of Legends match between Team Secret Whales and Hanwha Life Esports on July 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM EDT. Whichever team wins the map will cause the corresponding market to resolve affirmatively.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. This market aggregates dispersed knowledge from many participants, which can surface edges that sportsbooks miss—particularly in niche esports matchups where public betting volume is lower and sharp action concentrates on prediction platforms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers on binary outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the current spread between buy and sell orders. As new information arrives—team announcements, scrim results, or betting patterns—traders update their orders, and the price adjusts continuously. Deeper order books and tighter spreads typically indicate higher confidence and liquidity in the market.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Map 2 match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team wins the map according to the official match broadcast and esports league records. Traders holding positions on the winning side receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match end, pending confirmation from league officials or broadcast data.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match plays out. Roster changes or player substitutions announced by either team would signal a shift in competitive balance. Scrim results or recent tournament performance leaking into the community could reshape trader expectations. In-game meta shifts or map-specific patch updates might favor one team's playstyle over the other. Pre-match interviews, coach statements, or betting action from known sharp players can also trigger repricing as new information flows into the market.