TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match between two professional esports teams, Team Secret and Fnatic, scheduled for September 15, 2026. The resolution depends on which team secures a victory in their league stage match. If either team wins the specified match, the corresponding market will settle accordingly.
The market resolves based on the result of the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between Team Secret and Fnatic, scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. If Team Secret wins the match, its market resolves to Yes; if Fnatic wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, both markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins, or if either team forfeits prior to the start, both markets also resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the markets resolve according to the official result declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning. If a significant amount of money flows towards one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially revealing information not yet fully priced into traditional betting lines. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Team Secret vs. Fnatic match, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is a fair representation of the likelihood of each outcome. The closer we get to Sep 16, 2026, the more sensitive the prices become to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Team Secret vs. Fnatic match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as Sep 16, 2026 approaches to understand potential catalysts that could influence the market.
Several signals could impact this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either Team Secret or Fnatic could significantly shift the odds. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams, or announcements about the tournament format, could also be influential. Furthermore, large trading volume on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, even without external news. Keeping an eye on esports news and the trading activity on the platform is crucial.