TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:05 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Phantasma and WLGaming Esports continue their rivalry with map 2 acting as a crucial middle point in their match structure. Victory in this map could shift the dynamics of the overall series.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 2 in the specified match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique participant dynamics and the ability to bet on granular outcomes. Traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as map-specific strategies or player performance trends. This can lead to divergence from sportsbook odds, which are set by professional oddsmakers considering broader historical data and public betting patterns. Monitoring both can provide a more complete view of market expectations for the Map 2 winner market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks that determine the current probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the most recent trading activity and order book depth. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders influence prices through their bets, reacting to news, team announcements, and performance updates. Volume of $24,538 and 24-hour volume of $18,303 indicate liquidity and interest levels. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of map two will be determined by the official match result, and the market will close accordingly based on that final, publicly recorded detail.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Key team announcements such as roster changes, injuries, or strategic updates may impact trader sentiment. Pre-match performance in practice sessions or recent tournament results can also influence odds. Media coverage highlighting tactical advantages or disadvantages might cause rapid price movements. As the match date approaches, any last-minute lineup decisions or venue-specific conditions could further affect the market, reflecting updated probabilities for the outcome.