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Closed: Sep 11, 1:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college esports teams, Team Phantasma and Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports, will face off in a League of Legends match on September 11, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures victory on the third map of the match, adding an extra layer of strategy as players aim to dominate early or hold strong until the final stages.
The market resolves to Yes if either Team Phantasma or Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports wins map 3 of their scheduled League of Legends match on September 11, 2026, at 10:30 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds for this event. Sportsbooks often release odds well in advance, incorporating their own analysis and margins. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi and can shift rapidly as new information emerges or opinions change. While sportsbooks may initially offer a different perspective, the prediction market can potentially offer a more accurate forecast closer to the event, as it aggregates diverse viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow directly influence the price, making it a dynamic representation of collective belief about the collegiate League of Legends match.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the Team Phantasma versus Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which team secured victory and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in this market.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Phantasma or Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even broader trends in the collegiate League of Legends scene, could also impact the odds. Significant volume spikes on Kalshi could also indicate a shift in market opinion, potentially driven by new information or analysis.