TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
The same two teams compete in the second map of their League of Legends match on September 11, 2026. The result hinges on which team claims map 2, making this a critical midpoint in the match that could shift momentum dramatically toward either side.
The market resolves to Yes if either Team Phantasma or Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports wins map 2 of their scheduled League of Legends match on September 11, 2026, at 10:30 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in who is participating in each market. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by a sportsbook, it might indicate an opportunity for arbitrage or a differing assessment of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the collective belief of all traders participating in the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for Team Phantasma to win, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Team Phantasma versus Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports match. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early game advantages or key objective control, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader trends in the League of Legends esports scene, or even general perceptions of team strength based on recent matches, could also impact trading activity and move the odds in this market.