TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 9:45 AM EST
Kalshi
A third League of Legends match pits two teams against each other, with the first map's outcome determining market results. The contest occurs at a set time, and any disruptions adhere to predefined fairness rules.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins map 1 of their scheduled match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders investing real money rather than bookmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors or adjust for their own risk, the market price here is driven purely by buyer-seller activity and can therefore shift more quickly with new information or sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for each possible outcome. The displayed probability represents the balance of buy and sell orders at any moment, adjusting automatically as participants trade. This mechanism lets the market price reflect the collective judgment of all active investors on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records, and the market settles based on which team is declared the winner of Map 1 after the competition concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include practice match results, player injuries or lineup changes, strategic announcements from the teams, and analyst commentary leading up to the event. Any development that changes perceptions of each team’s strength or map preparation is likely to drive trading activity and adjust the odds before resolution.