TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 7:05 AM EST
Kalshi
In a critical early phase of a competitive Dota 2 matchup, the first map sets the tone. The result depends entirely on which team's strategy and execution prevail in this opening encounter.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 1 of the specified match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official tournament result. Kalshi disclaims affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, but may be slower to adjust to new information. This market, however, incorporates a wider range of perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts based on their own research and insights. While sportsbooks may offer more traditional betting options, the dynamic nature of this market can lead to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of a specific map being chosen.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts that pay out $1 if the outcome they represent occurs. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief of the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first map selection in the Team Nemesis vs. Team Spirit match is verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to $1 for the contract corresponding to the map that was selected first, and $0 for all other contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results to understand when the market has officially resolved. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Team Nemesis or Team Spirit could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map pools or veto procedures could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, the results of other recent matches played by these teams, or any analysis from prominent CS2 analysts, could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.