TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
Team Nemesis and MOUZ compete in a Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup 2026 scheduled for July 9, 2026. The outcome depends on which team wins the first map of this professional esports competition.
Resolution is determined by the winner of map 1 in the Esports World Cup 2026: Team Nemesis vs. MOUZ Dota 2 match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. If Team Nemesis wins map 1, the market resolves to Yes for Team Nemesis. If MOUZ wins map 1, the market resolves to Yes for MOUZ.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates real-money positions from participants who profit by accurately forecasting the outcome, potentially offering a less biased view than fixed sportsbook lines. Both sources provide valuable signals, but prediction markets reward accuracy directly, which can lead to sharper pricing over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the price up or down. Shares trade continuously until the market resolves, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the first map of the Team Nemesis vs. MOUZ match concludes and the winner is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the designated map in the matchup. Resolution occurs shortly after the event is officially confirmed, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, map-specific statistics, and player form updates may influence trader expectations. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and community sentiment can also drive price movement. Additionally, any official announcements regarding player availability, coaching changes, or strategic adjustments by either team could prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Real-time match conditions and early map performance will likely create the most significant volatility as the event approaches.