TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 esports teams compete in a match scheduled for July 9, 2026 as part of the Esports World Cup 2026 tournament. The winner of this match will be determined by standard competitive Dota 2 gameplay rules.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Team Nemesis vs. MOUZ Dota 2 match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT during the Esports World Cup 2026. The market resolves to Yes based on which team wins the match, with each possible outcome (Team Nemesis victory, MOUZ victory, or a tie) corresponding to a separate market resolution.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. This market aggregates dispersed information from many participants, which can sometimes surface insights that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders directly set bid and ask prices for outcome shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders flow in. Shares are denominated in cents (0–100), so a price of 65 means the market is pricing that outcome at a 65 percent implied probability. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit a position at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Team Nemesis vs. MOUZ esports match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, and all shares will be settled according to which team prevails. Until that date, prices will fluctuate as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Early resolution is possible if circumstances prevent the match from occurring as scheduled.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries, recent team performance and win streaks, and head-to-head matchup history. Announcements about tournament format changes, map pools, or patch updates to the underlying game can also shift expectations. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting activity on external sportsbooks may influence trader sentiment here. As the match date approaches, any news about team preparation, coaching decisions, or competitive form will likely trigger price movements as participants reassess their probability estimates.