TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 12:15 AM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of a Dota 2 match between two teams determines early control and sets the tone for subsequent gameplay. The team securing this map gain an initial upper hand in the competition.
The market resolves to Yes if either Team Nemesis or InterActive Philippines wins map 1 of their scheduled match on Sep 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before any play, resolution occurs at the fair market price. A map that starts but is later forfeited resolves based on the official result from the governing body. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, especially when public sentiment heavily favors one outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as traders react to different factors influencing the event. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for this match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the CS2 map win. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in InterActive Philippines winning map 1, as reflected in the contract prices.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of map 1 in the Team Nemesis versus InterActive Philippines CS2 match. The team declared the winner by the official game results will determine the winning contract. The market will close and settle shortly after the official result is available, ensuring a timely and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Nemesis or InterActive Philippines could shift expectations. In-game performance during earlier matches, if any are played before map 1, could also provide valuable signals. Major upsets in other CS2 tournaments or changes in the overall competitive landscape could also have an impact, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or trading activity on Kalshi. These events could all lead to adjustments in the odds for this market.