TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Team Liquid Academy and Ghools Esports compete in map 1 of their VCL EMEA Stage 3 2026 Valorant match on June 25, 2026. The winner of this opening map will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 2026 Valorant match between Team Liquid Academy and Ghools Esports scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. Resolution occurs when either Team Liquid Academy or Ghools Esports wins map 1.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. Prediction markets typically incorporate a broader range of real-time information and can adjust faster as new developments emerge. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs, though each venue serves distinct trader bases and incentive structures.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's likelihood, ranging from near-zero to near-100. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price in real time. Your position's value fluctuates with these price changes, and you can exit or add to your stake at any moment during market hours.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result of Map 1 in the Team Liquid Academy versus Ghools Esports contest. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event's completion, allowing traders to settle their positions. Until that point, prices may continue to shift as new developments or analysis influence market sentiment.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before resolution. Roster changes, player injuries, or roster substitutions announced by either team would likely trigger sharp price moves. Recent match results, scrim outcomes, or public statements from coaches and players can reshape trader confidence. Meta shifts in the game itself, patch updates, or map-specific strategy breakthroughs may also influence expectations. Closer to the event date, betting patterns and late-breaking news tend to accelerate repricing as the community incorporates final information.