TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 7:15 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, Team Kinetix and Team Nemesis, compete in a best-of-three series on September 8, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the second map of their match, with each map featuring unique gameplay dynamics and strategic depth.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia 2026 match between Team Kinetix and Team Nemesis, scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If either team wins map 2, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body’s publication. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that attract balanced betting, ensuring a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting options. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Team Kinetix versus Team Nemesis on Map 2, as reported by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The final outcome will be clearly communicated on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team performance, player form, strategic changes, or potential roster adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about map strategies or in-game tactics could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general sentiment and public discussion surrounding the matchup, including analyst predictions and fan opinions, can contribute to price fluctuations. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this event could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess overall team strength.