TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 3:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Two teams face off in a League of Legends match, with the second map serving as a pivotal moment. The winner of this map will be determined by their strategic gameplay and performance in that specific segment of the match.
If Team Heretics wins map 2 in the LEC 2026: Team Heretics vs. Karmine Corp League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 1:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karmine Corp wins map 2 in the LEC 2026: Team Heretics vs. Karmine Corp League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 1:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more nuanced probabilities shaped by engaged fans. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public sentiment and adjusted lines, the prediction market price here is driven purely by trader conviction and positions, potentially offering tighter or divergent assessments of the teams’ map-two prospects.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through buying and selling contracts, which determines the implied probability for each outcome. The current top chance reflects collective trader assessment of which team is more likely to win map two, adjusted dynamically as new information or shifts in sentiment emerge leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match result for map two, and the market will settle accordingly once the match concludes and the winner is beyond dispute.
Several signals could impact this market before Aug 3, 2026. Key performance in earlier maps, player injuries or substitutions, and strategic adjustments by coaches often shift trader expectations. Media analysis and expert commentary may also influence odds. Sudden changes in team form or unexpected tactical decisions on game day can cause rapid price swings, so keeping an eye on pre-match reports and live in-game developments is crucial for tracking market movement.