TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second map in a professional Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Nigma Galaxy during The International 2026 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures victory on that specific map. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with special provisions for match or map cancellations or forfeitures.
If Team Falcons wins map 2 in the The International 2026: Team Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nigma Galaxy wins map 2 in the The International 2026: Team Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view shaped by sharp traders and real-time data. While sportsbooks may lag or incorporate broader public sentiment, this market can react faster to in-game momentum shifts, player performance updates, and strategic adjustments made by both teams leading up to map two.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for the match outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest probability assessment from active participants, with liquidity and volume of $131,960 influencing price discovery and tightness of spreads.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of map two will be determined by the official match result, and this will be the basis for settling all positions on Kalshi at that time.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-match analyst predictions, player injury updates, changes to team strategies or lineups, and live in-game performance on earlier maps that affect momentum going into map two. Any unexpected developments or shifts in team form may cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations on Kalshi.