TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Team Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy
predict
kalshi
limitless

Team Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy

Volume:
$1,356,555

Nigma Galaxy

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 1:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nigma Galaxy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$442,955
N/A
N/A
$236,527
Settled
Yes
limitless

Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
67%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$18,265
$174,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
99%
62%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$52,451
$104,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
99%
52%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$45,719
$27,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

First Blood in Game 1?

View
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$18,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

First Blood in Game 2?

View
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,623
$18,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
1%
36%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$62,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

View
1%
39%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$554
$32,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?

View
1%
53%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$360
$22,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?

View
1%
54%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$21,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Falcons

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$431,972
N/A
N/A
$219,523
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons at The International Playoffs. The current consensus probability for Nigma Galaxy to win is 99.0%, aggregated from Predict, Kalshi, and Limitless, with resolution based on official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. Watch for the match result on August 20, 2026, which will determine the market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official match results from Dotabuff or credible reporting, with consistent handling of cancellations, ties, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://www.dotabuff.com, with credible reporting as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-three series
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on the winner of the respective completed game
  • Over/Under 2.5 games resolves to Over if 3 or more games are played, Under if fewer than 3
  • Handicap market resolves based on the difference in games won between the teams
  • Markets resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, forfeitures before start, or unresolved matches beyond the September 3, 2026 deadline

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Forfeit or disqualification: If a team wins due to opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover after the match begins, the market resolves to the winning team. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start, the market resolves to 50-50.
  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026. If the rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, the market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, it resolves to 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the conclusion of the match, with results published on https://www.dotabuff.com within 2 hours, or via credible reporting if Dotabuff fails to publish within that timeframeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If Team Falcons wins The International 2026: Team Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nigma Galaxy wins The International 2026: Team Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International 2026, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Falcons vs. Nigma Galaxy matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders price this contest over time. It displays total volume of $1,356,555 and recent 24-hour volume at $1,199,270, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view also highlights the leading outcome across platforms, offering a consensus snapshot of market expectations for this matchup.