TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 8:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of a Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and GamerLegion scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT as part of the Esports World Cup 2026. Markets are offered across Kalshi and Limitless platforms with varying resolution structures.
The market resolves based on the result of the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and GamerLegion at Esports World Cup 2026 scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Each possible outcome—Team Falcons victory, GamerLegion victory, or a tie—corresponds to a separate market that resolves to Yes if that outcome occurs. The resolution is determined solely by the match result at the tournament.
This market refers to the match between GamerLegion and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 9, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates pricing gaps. Kalshi and Limitless may also enforce slightly different rules around market hours, position limits, or settlement timing. Arbitrage traders work to close these spreads, but temporary divergences persist due to latency, capital constraints, and platform-specific user behavior. Monitoring both venues gives you a fuller picture of where informed traders see value and helps you identify when one platform is lagging the other.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance, and head-to-head matchup history. Pre-match interviews, team statements, or coaching adjustments can shift trader conviction in the days leading up. Live gameplay updates and early-match momentum often trigger sharp repricing as new information flows in. Community sentiment on social media and esports forums also influences trader positioning. Any unexpected roster news or withdrawal would likely trigger immediate volatility across both platforms.