TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Team Bald and Power Rangers compete in the first map of their Dota 2 match during The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by standard Dota 2 gameplay rules.
Resolution depends on the outcome of map 1 in the specified match. Either Team Bald or Power Rangers will win the map through normal competitive play. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team emerges victorious in this map.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may price the matchup differently than major sportsbooks, especially as new data surfaces or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with the current market price serving as the best available estimate of the event's probability. As new information arrives or trader conviction changes, prices adjust in real time, ensuring the market continuously incorporates fresh signals.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official result of the competition, with no ambiguity about which team prevailed on the specified map. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders adjust their positions based on team form, roster changes, and any other factors they believe influence the likely winner.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance, and head-to-head matchup history. Practice results, coaching changes, or public statements from team leadership can shift trader sentiment. Closer to the event date, meta shifts in the game itself or updates to the map pool may influence expectations. Real-time developments during the broadcast—such as early round outcomes or momentum swings—will also drive sharp repricing as traders update their forecasts.