TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 2:20 PM EST
Kalshi
The second map of the same competitive League of Legends series faces similar scrutiny, with each team's win on this map directly impacting corresponding betting markets. This map's result is pivotal for both participants and bettors alike.
The market resolves to Yes if either Team Aqua ASD or Colossal Gaming wins map 2 of the LIT 2026 match scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. Postponements beyond 48 hours, cancellations, or forfeitures before play result in resolution at the fair market price. If a started map is later forfeited, the outcome adheres to the official result declared by the governing body.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market relies on individuals freely trading contracts based on their own beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to late-breaking news or developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each potential result. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of Map 2 in the Team Aqua ASD vs. Colossal Gaming match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Resolution will be based on the officially recorded results of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Aqua or Colossal Gaming could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early results within Map 1, might also impact trading activity. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as rule changes or venue adjustments, could also cause fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely move this market.