TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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TE Fantasy Football Week 1 Leader?
kalshi

TE Fantasy Football Week 1 Leader?

Volume:
$1,609

Isaiah Likely

 - Kalshi

Isaiah Likely - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Isaiah Likely

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trey McBride

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
$637
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas Goedert

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
No
kalshi

Colston Loveland

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
kalshi

Juwan Johnson

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam LaPorta

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Pitts Sr.

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Harold Fannin Jr.

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

George Kittle

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Kelce

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Ferguson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Schultz

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

T.J. Hockenson

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Darren Waller

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brenton Strange

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Mayer

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This market determines which tight end will achieve the highest fantasy points in the first week of the 2026 NFL regular season using Sleeper's full-PPR scoring system. The outcome depends on individual player performance across various statistical categories including passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive contributions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to "Yes" if the specified player finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all tight ends in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season, using Sleeper's scoring system which includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive statistics. Players who do not participate in Week 1 are considered to have scored zero points. If multiple players tie for the highest points, the market resolves to a fractional value of 1/N, where N is the number of tied players, and no holder will receive $1 minus the "Yes" payout. All markets share identical secondary rules governing scoring calculations, player eligibility determination, and tie resolution procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the TE Fantasy Football market displays the current odds for each player to lead in fantasy points during Week 1, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $307, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,609. This allows you to see which players are attracting the most attention and how market sentiment is shifting as we approach the start of the NFL season.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.

On Kalshi, the odds in this market are determined by traders who are buying and selling contracts. The price of each contract represents the probability of a particular tight end leading in fantasy points for Week 1. Higher prices signify greater market confidence in that player. Trading volume provides insight into how actively a player is being considered, and the price fluctuations demonstrate how opinions are evolving. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the latest information and analysis available to traders.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the highest fantasy point total among all tight ends in Week 1 will be declared the winner. Official fantasy football scoring from major providers will be used to determine the final results. The resolution will be based on standard fantasy scoring rules, including points for receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Traders will be able to see the confirmed results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the Week 1 games.

News regarding player injuries is a primary driver for this market. Any updates on the health status of key tight ends will likely cause significant shifts in their probabilities. Additionally, changes in team offensive strategies or quarterback performance could influence expectations. Pre-season game results and final depth chart announcements will also play a role, as they provide insights into potential playing time and target share. Overall, any information that alters the projected fantasy point output of these players could move this market.