TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which tight end will achieve the highest fantasy points in the first week of the 2026 NFL regular season using Sleeper's full-PPR scoring system. The outcome depends on individual player performance across various statistical categories including passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive contributions.
Each market resolves to "Yes" if the specified player finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all tight ends in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season, using Sleeper's scoring system which includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive statistics. Players who do not participate in Week 1 are considered to have scored zero points. If multiple players tie for the highest points, the market resolves to a fractional value of 1/N, where N is the number of tied players, and no holder will receive $1 minus the "Yes" payout. All markets share identical secondary rules governing scoring calculations, player eligibility determination, and tie resolution procedures.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, the odds in this market are determined by traders who are buying and selling contracts. The price of each contract represents the probability of a particular tight end leading in fantasy points for Week 1. Higher prices signify greater market confidence in that player. Trading volume provides insight into how actively a player is being considered, and the price fluctuations demonstrate how opinions are evolving. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the latest information and analysis available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the highest fantasy point total among all tight ends in Week 1 will be declared the winner. Official fantasy football scoring from major providers will be used to determine the final results. The resolution will be based on standard fantasy scoring rules, including points for receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Traders will be able to see the confirmed results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the Week 1 games.
News regarding player injuries is a primary driver for this market. Any updates on the health status of key tight ends will likely cause significant shifts in their probabilities. Additionally, changes in team offensive strategies or quarterback performance could influence expectations. Pre-season game results and final depth chart announcements will also play a role, as they provide insights into potential playing time and target share. Overall, any information that alters the projected fantasy point output of these players could move this market.