TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
TCU Horned Frogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (W)
Volume:
$3,611,429
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between TCU Horned Frogs and South Carolina Gamecocks on March 30 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves to YES for both possible game outcomes (TCU win OR South Carolina win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve to NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'TCU Horned Frogs' or 'South Carolina Gamecocks' depending on the actual winner, with proper handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a fatal resolution flaw that guarantees YES regardless of outcome, making it fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent winner-based resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves to YES if TCU wins OR if South Carolina wins, meaning both possible game outcomes trigger YES. This creates a logical impossibility where NO can never occur. Key quote: 'If TCU wins the TCU at South Carolina women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins the TCU at South Carolina women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Resolves to 'TCU Horned Frogs' if TCU wins or 'South Carolina Gamecocks' if South Carolina wins, with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to TCU Horned Frogs. If the South Carolina Gamecocks win, the market will resolve to South Carolina Gamecocks. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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