This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between TCU Horned Frogs and Cincinnati Bearcats scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both TCU winning and Cincinnati winning are stated to resolve to 'Yes', making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary logic with well-defined edge cases.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the Cincinnati outcome should resolve to 'No' or whether this is a moneyline on TCU only. Polymarket is the safer venue with unambiguous resolution criteria.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clear binary outcome: TCU win resolves to 'TCU Horned Frogs', Cincinnati win resolves to 'Cincinnati Bearcats'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Overtime included in final score.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction: states both 'If TCU wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cincinnati wins...resolves to Yes', creating an impossible scenario where every game outcome produces the same resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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