TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.3b
24H VOL:
$206,446,559
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,056,367
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,853,498,357
475,549
Markets across
35,554
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,812
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the TB Buccaneers will win by more than 2.5 points against the DAL Cowboys. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 85.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score of the TB Buccaneers vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game, with resolution details available from the stated conditions. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve if the DAL Cowboys win by more than 27.5 points, according to the resolution source, and is currently estimated to resolve on 2026-10-09 following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the TB Buccaneers vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the listed team wins by more points than the specified threshold; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete such that no definitive winner or score exists, all markets will resolve as No. All outcomes are determined exclusively by the official league result, with no consideration for overtime periods, disputed calls, or subsequent revisions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and build in a profit margin, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move closer to prediction market prices as the event approaches, especially if sportsbooks react to significant betting patterns. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly early on, as this market incorporates information and analysis from a diverse range of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Buccaneers-Cowboys game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and forecast the game's result.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Buccaneers-Cowboys game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the league and reported by major sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent any last-minute manipulation or influence from the live event.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buccaneers or the Cowboys would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price changes in this market.