TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a football game. Each market has a different threshold, determining whether the scoring exceeds that specific level. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that specific period of play.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Cincinnati Bengals during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only points scored during the standard 4th quarter count, ensuring uniformity across all markets. The governing league’s official scoring and game records will determine the resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in. Over time, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, game developments, and their own analysis. This dynamic process leads to a real-time assessment of the potential point total in the 4th quarter of the Buccaneers-Bengals game. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Buccaneers-Bengals game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Buccaneers or the Bengals would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also move the market. In-game developments during the first three quarters, such as a dominant performance by one team or unexpected scoring plays, will undoubtedly affect traders’ perceptions and lead to adjustments in the price. Even late-breaking analytical reports could shift sentiment and impact volume.