TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Cincinnati Bengals or Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether the Cincinnati Bengals or Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the second quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specified point differentials. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter of play. For any given market, if the stated team wins the quarter by more than the indicated point margin, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The outcomes span a range of thresholds—from over 1.5 points to over 10.5 points—for both possible winners, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the quarter. All markets operate independently, and the governing league’s official scoring and game records will serve as the definitive reference for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—but sometimes diverging from—traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes information isn’t fully priced into the sportsbook lines, or that public sentiment is strongly leaning towards a particular result. It’s a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Buccaneers-Bengals 2nd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Essentially, if more people believe the Buccaneers will cover a certain spread, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards the Bengals, those contract prices will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Buccaneers-Bengals game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and will reflect the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the second quarter. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Buccaneers or the Bengals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ relative strengths and weaknesses could drive price fluctuations. Even in-game performance during the first quarter could influence how traders position themselves for the second.