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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,028
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 13, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cincinnati Bengals will score together in the second half of their football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the combined second-half scoring performance of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cincinnati Bengals in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold—ranging from just over three points to more than forty-two points—that determines whether the outcome settles as 'Yes' or 'No.' Only points scored during regulation second-half play count; overtime points are excluded from all calculations. The thresholds progressively increase across the markets, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity in the latter half of the contest. All markets operate independently, with each threshold evaluated separately against the actual second-half point total.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their opinion and trade on it. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome and reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional analysis. Keep in mind that prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions, potentially leading to more informed pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the second half will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the true probability.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final total points scored in the second half of the Buccaneers versus Bengals game will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for the final score. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Buccaneers or Bengals would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather conditions expected during the game. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any in-game developments during the first half, such as a dominant performance by one team or unusual scoring patterns, could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the evolving situation.