TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13M
- Kalshi
Above 13M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 26, 2026
Closed: Sep 26, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks the potential global viewership of Taylor Swift's content on YouTube for a specific day in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of daily views, allowing participants to speculate on how widely her content might be consumed that day.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the total global daily views of Taylor Swift on YouTube on September 25, 2026. The resolution uses view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the artist searched and "Global" selected as the location. All markets and related products are explicitly stated to not have endorsement from YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts or marks are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the market operator. Each individual market resolves to "Yes" if the view count exceeds its specified threshold, ranging incrementally from above 13 million to above 16 million views.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Currently, analysts are offering a range of projections for Taylor Swift's viewership, but this market allows individuals to weigh in and create a different perspective. If the odds on Kalshi significantly diverge from these forecasts, it could indicate that traders possess unique insights or anticipate factors not fully considered by analysts. This dynamic interplay between market-based predictions and expert analysis provides a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final number of views Taylor Swift will receive by September 25, 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the views will be high, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that constantly adjusts to new information and market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual number of views Taylor Swift's content receives by that date. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from official sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to see how their predictions aligned with the actual results, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Major announcements regarding Taylor Swift’s upcoming projects, such as new album releases, concert tours, or media appearances, would likely impact predictions. Shifts in overall social media engagement trends or changes in viewership patterns for similar artists could also influence the market. Unexpected events affecting public attention, or even changes in the algorithms of major video platforms, could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts for this market.
