TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13M
- Kalshi
Above 13M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Taylor Swift's YouTube view performance on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for global daily views. Each threshold represents a distinct level of audience engagement, allowing participants to speculate on how widely her content will be consumed that day.
Kalshi
Each market specifies a unique threshold for Taylor Swift's global daily YouTube views on September 15, 2026, with the market resolving to "Yes" if the views exceed that threshold. All markets use view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location. View counts may vary by location, and neither these markets nor their associated products are endorsed by YouTube; any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement. The structure allows participants to evaluate different levels of potential viewership, with each threshold representing a separate speculative opportunity based on the same underlying data source and methodology.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Taylor Swift’s views. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst predictions. This is because traders are incentivized to make accurate predictions with their own capital. If analysts predict a certain view count, this market will reflect whether traders agree, disagree, or believe there's significant uncertainty around that forecast. The market’s price will adjust as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Taylor Swift will exceed 13.9M daily views on September 15, 2026. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring. The current price indicates the collective wisdom of those trading in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the officially reported daily views for Taylor Swift’s content on September 15, 2026. The platform will verify this data against trusted sources to determine whether the outcome is above or below the 13.9M view threshold. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the market will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any major announcements related to Taylor Swift’s upcoming releases, tours, or media appearances would likely cause movement. Changes in her social media engagement or broader trends in streaming viewership could also play a role. Unexpected events impacting internet accessibility or content consumption habits could also shift the market. Furthermore, general public sentiment towards Taylor Swift, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could influence trader behavior and, consequently, the market price.
