TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13.2M
- Kalshi
Above 13.2M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 14, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Taylor Swift's YouTube view performance on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for global daily views. Each threshold represents a different level of audience engagement, allowing participants to speculate on the magnitude of her viewership.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Taylor Swift achieves specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube for September 13, 2026. All markets share the same resolution process: view counts are sourced from YouTube Charts using a New York IP address, with "Global" selected as the location filter. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold (e.g., above 13M, above 14.5M, etc.), and the market resolves to "Yes" if the recorded view count exceeds that threshold. The rules explicitly note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. Secondary disclosures emphasize geographic variability in view counts and clarify that resolution relies solely on data displayed from the specified New York IP address.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analyses, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives. While analysts may rely on historical data and industry trends, this market aggregates the wisdom of many participants, potentially identifying unforeseen influences on the final viewership numbers. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than established experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential viewership outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations regarding the Taylor Swift performance views.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final viewership numbers for the Taylor Swift performance will be sourced from publicly available data and validated to determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total views across all official streaming and broadcast platforms. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on widely accepted metrics.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements regarding the performance itself, such as guest appearances or special segments, could impact viewership expectations. Broader cultural trends, shifts in Taylor Swift’s popularity, or major news events occurring around September 13, 2026, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, changes in streaming platform accessibility or marketing campaigns leading up to the performance could all contribute to fluctuations in the odds within this market.
