TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13.3M
- Kalshi
Above 13.3M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 13, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Taylor Swift's YouTube view performance on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for global daily views. Each threshold represents a distinct level of audience engagement, allowing participants to speculate on how widely her content will be consumed that day.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on Taylor Swift’s Global daily YouTube views on September 11, 2026, measured using data from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts. Each market has a unique numeric threshold (e.g., above 13M, above 14.5M, etc.), and if the recorded views exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. View counts are subject to variation by geographic location, but all markets consistently use the New York IP address for verification. Importantly, YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no official affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a unique perspective, potentially incorporating a wider range of factors than traditional analysis. While analysts may focus on specific metrics, the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many participants, potentially identifying overlooked variables or anticipating unexpected events. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement about the likely outcome of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as profits are earned by correctly anticipating the final result.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final views count for Taylor Swift’s content will be sourced from publicly available data. Resolution will occur when a reliable source publishes the official view count, and this data will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will then receive their winnings or losses based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding Taylor Swift’s content releases, such as new albums, music videos, or streaming partnerships, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in social media engagement, media coverage, and overall public interest in Taylor Swift could also impact trading activity. Unexpected events affecting the entertainment industry or broader cultural trends could also influence the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving landscape.
