TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 14M
- Kalshi
Above 14M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Closed: Aug 3, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Taylor Swift achieves exceptionally high single-day global view counts on YouTube during a specific week in 2026. The outcome depends on whether her daily views surpass various threshold levels at any moment during that period.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on Taylor Swift's single-day global view counts on YouTube during the period from July 27 to August 2, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from above 13.8 million to above 14.5 million views). The market resolves to 'Yes' if, at any point during the specified dates, Taylor Swift's global daily views exceed the threshold defined for that particular market. View counts are determined by data displayed on YouTube Charts when searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and each has its own resolution criteria based solely on whether the defined view count threshold is surpassed during the evaluation window. Neither these markets nor their associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts that may rely on historical data or qualitative judgment, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of active traders who buy and sell contracts based on new information. For this market, the current implied probability shows which outcome traders see as most likely to achieve the highest daily view count during the specified period. This can diverge from or align with published analyst predictions, depending on emerging trends and real-time sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine this market’s price through continuous bidding and order placement, with the top outcome’s current implied chance reflecting the balance of buy and sell orders. Market depth and liquidity, indicated by a volume of $57,806, help traders assess how easily they can enter or exit positions. Price fluctuations occur as new data emerges about Taylor Swift’s scheduled appearances and media coverage.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count during the specified period will determine the winning result, based on officially reported data from trusted sources.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 4, 2026: major announcements about Taylor Swift’s tour dates, surprise live performances, viral social media moments, or changes to broadcast schedules that affect viewership potential. Any development that alters expectations for which appearance might draw the largest audience — positive or negative — can cause rapid price changes as traders reassess probabilities and place new bets.
