TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 15.6M
- Kalshi
Above 15.6M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Taylor Swift achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube within a defined timeframe. The outcome depends on whether her view counts surpass various thresholds at any point during the period, measured from a New York IP address to ensure consistency.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Taylor Swift's global daily YouTube views from August 31 to September 6, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct market that resolves to 'Yes' if her views exceed the specified amount at any point during the period. All markets use view counts reported from a New York IP address to maintain consistency, accessing data through YouTube Charts by searching for Taylor Swift and selecting the 'Global' location filter. Neither the markets nor the associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive without implying affiliation or endorsement. The resolution hinges solely on achieving or surpassing each numerical threshold, with no cumulative or comparative analysis between thresholds.
Frequently asked questions
While analysts may issue their own projections for Taylor Swift's streaming performance, this market lets traders bet on the actual outcome in real time. The current odds reflect the collective wisdom of participants on Kalshi, which can diverge from traditional forecasts due to new data or shifting fan engagement trends.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest single-day view count for Taylor Swift between August 31, 2026, and September 6, 2026, will determine the result, based on officially recognized streaming or view metrics.
Several signals could sway this market before Sep 10, 2026. Major announcements about tour dates, ticket sales, new releases, or media coverage may boost expectations for record-breaking streams. Contrarily, technical issues, competition from other high-profile events, or lower-than-expected engagement could push the price downward. Social media trends, analyst commentary, and real-time streaming numbers as the dates approach will also heavily influence trader sentiment and market dynamics.
