TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 10:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the potential for a famous musician to attract exceptionally high viewership on a global video platform during a specific week. It focuses on whether view counts surpass various thresholds, reflecting interest in their content during that period.
The event evaluates whether a specific artist achieves varying levels of global daily view counts on a video platform during a defined week. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, with the outcome determined by whether the artist's views exceed that threshold on any day within the specified timeframe. View counts are verified using the platform's official charts, with 'Global' selected as the geographic filter. All markets operate independently, meaning resolution for each depends solely on its unique threshold being met. The markets are strictly for informational purposes and carry no endorsement from the video platform, with any referenced trademarks used descriptively rather than implying affiliation or approval.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the Taylor Swift viewership race through continuous bidding and asking. The current probability reflects collective expectations of which performance or segment will draw the largest daily audience during the specified dates. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Volume and liquidity adjust in real time as new information emerges, allowing participants to hedge or speculate on shifts in public engagement. The top outcome’s implied chance — shown as a percentage — captures the market’s consensus on who is most likely to lead in viewership by the time the market closes.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official viewership data for each day between August 3 and August 9, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the highest confirmed views will settle the contract on Kalshi.