TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential for Taylor Swift to attract exceptionally high global viewership on YouTube within a single day during a specific week in August 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of daily views, allowing participants to speculate on how popular her content might become during that period.
These markets evaluate whether Taylor Swift achieves specific levels of global daily views on YouTube during the week of August 10–16, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from above 14 million to above 17.5 million views. If, at any point during the specified week, her global daily views exceed the threshold designated for a particular market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets use YouTube Charts as the source for verifying global daily view counts by searching for Taylor Swift and selecting 'Global' as the location. Importantly, YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
On Kalshi, this market uses a dynamic odds model where traders buy and sell contracts based on their view of Taylor Swift’s daily viewership performance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the consensus among participants about whether she will surpass the specified view count threshold during the week. Trading volume of $6,604 over the last 24 hours shows market activity levels, while price fluctuations respond to new data, analyst commentary, and shifting fan expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially reported daily view metrics from major streaming services during the August 10–16, 2026 period.
Several signals could impact this market before Aug 18, 2026. Major concert announcements, surprise digital releases, or viral social media moments involving Taylor Swift might boost expected viewership. Conversely, technical issues during streams, competing entertainment events, or lower-than-anticipated engagement could depress the odds. Media coverage predicting record-breaking viewership also tends to influence trader sentiment and shift pricing dynamics as the event window approaches.