TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Taylor Fritz and Mattia Bellucci, scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Taylor Fritz and Mattia Bellucci, scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. Comparing these odds can offer a valuable perspective on public perception versus professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score in the Fritz vs. Bellucci match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding shares will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score of the match, as officially recorded by the governing tennis body, will determine the winning shares. Resolution will occur after the completion of all sets in the Fritz vs. Bellucci match, and the final result will be used to determine which shares payout and at what rate. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, as the match progresses, real-time updates and early set results will likely cause rapid price movements. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to shifts in trading volume and price, influencing the overall direction of this market.