TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-money bets and a wider range of information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to news and developments, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the Fritz vs. Cerundolo match. The price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influence price discovery. The current price of a share indicates the implied probability of that specific scoreline being the final result.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official, final score of the match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The exact score, including sets and games, will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and reported.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, strategic adjustments, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades or increased volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations and cause the odds to move considerably before Sep 11, 2026.