TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$503,338

Taylor Fritz

 - Kalshi

Taylor Fritz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 2:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Taylor Fritz

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$161,002
N/A
N/A
$132,282
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Darwin Blanch

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$342,337
N/A
N/A
$303,791
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which player—Taylor Fritz or Darwin Blanch—will win the first set of their match at the 2026 US Open Men’s Singles Round of 128. Currently, Kalshi gives Taylor Fritz a 99.0% probability of winning the first set, while Darwin Blanch is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the first set as determined by the 2026 US Open, according to the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the start of the match on August 30, 2026, as the outcome of the first set will immediately determine the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before any ball is played, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlement occurring within two weeks after the match finishes. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be determined from completed play settle accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Fritz vs Blanch Set 1 market, along with 24-hour volume of $501,926. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the chance that either player will claim the first set, updated continuously throughout the event’s lead-up. The view isolates Kalshi’s internal market dynamics, reflecting participant sentiment and betting patterns as they unfold.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match record — specifically, which player wins the first set — and will be matched against that verified data to close the market. Timing aligns with the match conclusion, ensuring a clear, public basis for settlement.

Key signals that could shift this market include player form leading up to the match, injury updates, recent head-to-head performance, and any last-minute changes in tournament conditions. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting trends on Kalshi may also influence trader sentiment. As the start time nears, any shift in perceived advantage — even minor — can cause noticeable price movement.