TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which player—Taylor Fritz or Darwin Blanch—will win the first set of their match at the 2026 US Open Men’s Singles Round of 128. Currently, Kalshi gives Taylor Fritz a 99.0% probability of winning the first set, while Darwin Blanch is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the first set as determined by the 2026 US Open, according to the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the start of the match on August 30, 2026, as the outcome of the first set will immediately determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before any ball is played, the market settles at a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes, with settlement occurring within two weeks after the match finishes. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be determined from completed play settle accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match record — specifically, which player wins the first set — and will be matched against that verified data to close the market. Timing aligns with the match conclusion, ensuring a clear, public basis for settlement.
Key signals that could shift this market include player form leading up to the match, injury updates, recent head-to-head performance, and any last-minute changes in tournament conditions. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting trends on Kalshi may also influence trader sentiment. As the start time nears, any shift in perceived advantage — even minor — can cause noticeable price movement.