TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Above 2.8M
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Above 2.8M - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 18, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Tate McRae's daily view counts on YouTube over a specific week in 2026, resolving based on whether thresholds are met. The outcome depends on performance metrics observed during the defined period, using a standardized measurement approach.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Tate McRae achieves specified global daily view count thresholds on YouTube during the period from September 14 to September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, ranging from above 2 million to above 5 million views. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' Tate McRae must surpass the respective threshold at any point during the specified week. View counts are determined using YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location and values sourced from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data source and disclaimer that neither this event nor its associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive without implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, there are no readily available analyst forecasts specifically predicting Tate McRae’s daily view counts during the specified period. However, comparing this market to general music industry trends and social media engagement predictions is possible. If analysts anticipate a significant album release or promotional push during that week, we might expect to see the odds for higher view counts increase. Conversely, if there's a lack of anticipated activity, the odds for lower view counts could rise, reflecting a more conservative outlook on her viewership.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, illustrates the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the platform will verify the highest daily view count Tate McRae receives on major video platforms (like YouTube and Vimeo) between September 14, 2026, and September 20, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the trading activity in this market. A major announcement regarding a new album release, a prominent television appearance, or a viral social media moment featuring Tate McRae would likely drive up the odds of higher view counts. Conversely, negative publicity or a lack of promotional activity could lead to a decrease in those odds. General trends in music streaming and video consumption, as well as competitor activity, could also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.
