TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 2M
- Kalshi
Above 2M - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Oct 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Tate McRae's daily view counts on YouTube over a specific week in 2026, resolving based on whether thresholds are met. Thresholds range incrementally from 2 million to 5 million global daily views. All outcomes share identical timing and methodology, focusing solely on view count magnitude.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether Tate McRae achieves specified global daily YouTube view count thresholds at any point between October 5 and October 11, 2026. Each market defines a unique numeric threshold (ranging from above 2M to above 5M views). View counts are evaluated using data accessed via YouTube Charts with "Global" location filtering from a New York IP address. No market endorsement by YouTube is implied; references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive. All markets share identical timing windows, data sources, and location parameters, differing only in the numeric threshold required for resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a certain view count range for Tate McRae, the odds on Kalshi will indicate whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to unique data points, making this market a valuable counterpoint to conventional predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likelihood of various view count levels for Tate McRae. The market’s efficiency is driven by the participation of informed traders seeking to profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Tate McRae’s content between October 5, 2026, and October 11, 2026, will be determined based on publicly available data from major video platforms. The resolution will reflect the peak number of views achieved during that specified timeframe, providing a definitive result for this market. The outcome will be assessed based on the most widely accepted and verifiable data sources.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any major announcements regarding Tate McRae’s new music releases, promotional activities, or appearances would likely impact her view counts. Unexpected viral trends featuring her songs or content could also drive up views. Furthermore, shifts in the overall popularity of the platform hosting her content, or changes in algorithm preferences, could influence visibility and therefore view counts. Positive or negative press coverage relating to Tate McRae could also cause fluctuations in trading activity within this market.
