TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 2.3M
- Kalshi
Above 2.3M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 07d:09h:18m
Will Tate McRae have above 2.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks the potential for a popular music artist to achieve exceptionally high viewership on a specific video-sharing platform during a defined timeframe. It focuses on whether the artist reaches various view count thresholds, reflecting audience engagement and digital performance metrics.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Tate McRae attains specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube during the period from October 12 to October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, ranging incrementally from above 2 million to above 5 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Tate McRae must surpass the respective threshold at any moment within the specified timeframe. All markets utilize view counts reported from a New York IP address to ensure consistency, and YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products. The rules emphasize that view counts are subject to geographical variation and that the referenced YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying any formal association or endorsement from YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. While analysts might focus on established trends, this market can quickly adapt to unexpected developments or shifts in public attention surrounding Tate McRae. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty, offering a more nuanced understanding of the potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the highest daily view count for Tate McRae during the specified period. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Tate McRae between October 12, 2026, and October 18, 2026, will be determined based on publicly available data from official sources tracking views. The market will settle to the contract corresponding to the actual highest daily view count achieved during that timeframe, providing a clear and objective result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. A major promotional campaign for Tate McRae’s music, such as a new single release or a high-profile performance, would likely increase expected view counts. Unexpected viral trends featuring her music or appearance could also drive up activity. Conversely, negative publicity or a decline in overall music consumption could lower expectations. Any news impacting Tate McRae’s popularity or the broader entertainment landscape is likely to influence trading activity in this market.
