TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 10:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the potential for a popular music artist to attract substantial global viewership on a specific video-sharing platform during a defined timeframe. It focuses on measuring audience engagement through daily view counts, reflecting the artist's ability to draw large audiences over a short period.
The event evaluates whether the artist Tate McRae achieves specified thresholds of global daily views on YouTube during the period from August 31, 2026, to September 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count threshold, ranging from above 2 million to above 5 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist's global daily views must exceed the respective threshold at any point within the specified timeframe. View counts are determined using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the artist searched and 'Global' selected as the location. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. All markets share these consistent secondary rules regarding data sourcing and disclaimer.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning date will be the day with the highest confirmed view count during the August 31 to September 6 window, based on widely accepted entertainment metrics.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 10, 2026. Strong social media engagement or a major announcement from Tate McRae might boost expectations for peak viewership. Conversely, technical issues or competing entertainment events could suppress interest. Weekly viewing trends and media coverage will also influence trader sentiment, causing price fluctuations as new information emerges.