TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tasmania JackJumpers vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tasmania JackJumpers vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix?

Volume:
$171,261

Tasmania Jackjumpers

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 7:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tasmania Jackjumpers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$79,217
N/A
N/A
$23,714
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tasmania JackJumpers (-2.5)

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tasmania JackJumpers vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 184.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SE Melbourne Phoenix

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,579
N/A
N/A
$20,882
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Tasmania JackJumpers and the South East Melbourne Phoenix, scheduled for September 21st. Markets exist for the outright winner, the point spread, and the total points scored in the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines resolution based on a future date (2026) and lacks clear rules for postponement or cancellation, while Polymarket focuses on the immediate game and provides resolution guidelines for these scenarios.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for clearer resolution criteria, particularly regarding game postponements or cancellations. Be aware of the date discrepancy on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the final score (including overtime) as published on nbl.com.au. Includes rules for postponed or canceled games (50-50 split if canceled).
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins the game, but specifies a date of September 21, 2026, and lacks rules for postponements or cancellations.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for September 21 at 5:30AM ET: If the Tasmania JackJumpers win, the market will resolve to "Tasmania JackJumpers". If the South East Melbourne Phoenix win, the market will resolve to "South East Melbourne Phoenix". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional NBL Australia basketball game between SE Melbourne Phoenix and Tasmania Jackjumpers, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates data from multiple prediction market platforms to provide a consensus view of the likelihood of different outcomes in the NBL championship. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $171,261, with $170,676 traded in the last 24 hours. We track prices on Polymarket and Kalshi to offer a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the most probability lies. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism for determining odds.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced outcomes earlier than sportsbooks, especially when public opinion differs from expert analysis. However, sportsbooks typically offer higher liquidity and a wider range of betting options.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Tasmania JackJumpers or the South East Melbourne Phoenix would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift the odds. News regarding coaching changes or internal team dynamics might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any significant media coverage or public statements about the teams’ chances could contribute to fluctuations in volume and price.