TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)
Volume:
$2,772
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Tarleton State Texans and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution statement contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This represents a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until platform clarifies whether this is a transcription error or an unusual market structure. Contact Kalshi support to confirm the actual Yes/No mapping for each team outcome. Polymarket's logic is clear and resolvable; use that as the reference standard.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime. Postponements keep market open; total cancellations resolve 50-50. Source: NCAA.org.
- Kalshi: Resolution statement indicates both UT Arlington win and Tarleton St. win resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. This appears to be either a data transcription error or a critical market design flaw that prevents settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.