TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)

Volume:
$2,772

Tarleton St.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 6, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tarleton St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,636
N/A
N/A
$1,401
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tarleton State Texans vs. UT Arlington Mavericks (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UT Arlington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Tarleton State Texans and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution statement contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This represents a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi until platform clarifies whether this is a transcription error or an unusual market structure. Contact Kalshi support to confirm the actual Yes/No mapping for each team outcome. Polymarket's logic is clear and resolvable; use that as the reference standard.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime. Postponements keep market open; total cancellations resolve 50-50. Source: NCAA.org.
  • Kalshi: Resolution statement indicates both UT Arlington win and Tarleton St. win resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible. This appears to be either a data transcription error or a critical market design flaw that prevents settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.