TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
kalshi
polymarket

Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats

Volume:
$1,356,149

Abilene Christian

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 11, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Abilene Christian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$679,065
N/A
N/A
$394,605
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 136.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 137.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 135.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 134.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tarleton St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$589,638
N/A
N/A
$424,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

A men's college basketball game between Tarleton State Texans and Abilene Christian Wildcats scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-1.5, -2.5 for Tarleton; -1.5 for Abilene Christian), and total points over/under at multiple lines (134.5, 135.5, 136.5, 137.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets for this event—they are fundamentally broken. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are valid and should be used as the settlement authority. If the game is canceled with no makeup, all Polymarket markets resolve 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Tarleton St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Abilene Christian wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where any outcome produces the same resolution, rendering the market unresolvable and meaningless.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Tarleton State Texans' if Tarleton wins or 'Abilene Christian Wildcats' if Abilene Christian wins. Spreads use point differentials (Tarleton -1.5 requires 2+ point win, -2.5 requires 3+ point win; Abilene Christian -1.5 requires 2+ point win). Totals use combined score thresholds (134.5, 135.5, 136.5, 137.5). All markets include 50-50 resolution for cancellation with no makeup game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.