TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
Volume:
$1,356,149
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Tarleton State Texans and Abilene Christian Wildcats scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-1.5, -2.5 for Tarleton; -1.5 for Abilene Christian), and total points over/under at multiple lines (134.5, 135.5, 136.5, 137.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets for this event—they are fundamentally broken. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are valid and should be used as the settlement authority. If the game is canceled with no makeup, all Polymarket markets resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Tarleton St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Abilene Christian wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where any outcome produces the same resolution, rendering the market unresolvable and meaningless.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Tarleton State Texans' if Tarleton wins or 'Abilene Christian Wildcats' if Abilene Christian wins. Spreads use point differentials (Tarleton -1.5 requires 2+ point win, -2.5 requires 3+ point win; Abilene Christian -1.5 requires 2+ point win). Totals use combined score thresholds (134.5, 135.5, 136.5, 137.5). All markets include 50-50 resolution for cancellation with no makeup game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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