TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in a college football game between Tarleton State and McNeese State. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Tarleton State vs McNeese college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If Tarleton State wins by exceeding the specified point spread for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If McNeese State wins, only the market specifically structured for a McNeese State victory by over 2.5 points applies. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of the original schedule time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved outcomes due to scheduling disruptions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different outcomes. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. Over time, these prices tend to converge as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. However, differences can persist due to varying levels of liquidity and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe Tarleton St. will cover the spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating trading. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded with the difference between the purchase and sale price of the contracts.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Tarleton St. vs McNeese football game. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which side of the spread was correct. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts when the market closes. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Tarleton St. or McNeese could significantly shift the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, can also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, public perception and betting trends observed in sportsbooks may influence trader behavior on Kalshi, leading to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential trading opportunities.