TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tarik Skubal's Next Team before Mar 25, 2027
kalshi

Tarik Skubal's Next Team before Mar 25, 2027

Volume:
$786,531

Los Angeles D

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles D - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 12:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles D

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$301,116
N/A
N/A
$221,000
5mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Milwaukee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,159
N/A
N/A
$54,796
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Detroit

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,985
N/A
N/A
$34,099
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,607
N/A
N/A
$31,957
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Chicago C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,389
N/A
N/A
$34,694
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Retires / No Team

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,121
N/A
N/A
$35,761
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,703
N/A
N/A
$25,826
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,322
N/A
N/A
$31,978
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

New York Y

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,721
N/A
N/A
$25,326
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Houston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,080
N/A
N/A
$10,447
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

New York M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,567
N/A
N/A
$7,674
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Chicago WS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,153
N/A
N/A
$5,953
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Seattle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,809
N/A
N/A
$5,196
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,432
N/A
N/A
$7,372
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

San Diego

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,077
N/A
N/A
$4,253
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Baltimore

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,782
N/A
N/A
$5,493
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Los Angeles A

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,894
N/A
N/A
$4,608
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Texas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,233
N/A
N/A
$2,885
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

San Francisco

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,939
N/A
N/A
$2,665
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

St. Louis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,996
N/A
N/A
$1,151
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,889
N/A
N/A
$1,541
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

A's

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,820
N/A
N/A
$1,784
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Cincinnati

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,810
N/A
N/A
$949
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Arizona

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
$883
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Toronto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
$815
5mo 3w 5d
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks which Major League Baseball team Tarik Skubal will join next before March 25, 2027. On Kalshi, the current probability that Skubal will sign with the Atlanta Braves is 99.0%. The resolution source specifies that if Skubal’s next team is Atlanta before the stated date, the market will resolve accordingly. The key date to watch is March 25, 2027, which marks the end of the betting period for this event.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the team Tarik Skubal joins before March 25, 2027. If Skubal officially retires or is not on any team by the resolution date, the "Retires / No Team" outcome resolves to Yes. If Skubal remains on the team he was with at market issuance through March 25, 2027, that team's outcome resolves to Yes. Resolution is based on official MLB roster and transaction records.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are typically more dynamic than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks adjust odds based on betting volume and risk management, prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate trader beliefs directly into contract prices. Sportsbooks may offer different spreads or promotional pricing, whereas Kalshi prices reflect pure market consensus. Both venues update frequently, but prediction markets often react faster to breaking news about player movement.

The Tarik Skubal's Next Team market resolves on Mar 25, 2027. Resolution is determined by official confirmation of which team signs or trades for Skubal as his next employer. This includes any trades, free-agent signings, or other roster moves that establish his next team. The market will settle once his new team affiliation is publicly announced by MLB or the relevant organization, ending all trading activity on this event.

Key catalysts include trade deadline activity, free-agency announcements, and statements from Skubal, his agent, or team executives about his future. Injuries to Skubal or other pitchers on contending teams could shift demand. Changes in team payroll or front-office leadership may alter acquisition likelihood. Media reports about trade talks or interest from specific franchises typically trigger immediate price movement. Contract negotiations, arbitration decisions, and playoff performance by contending teams also influence trader expectations about his destination.