TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 8:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Darja Semenistaja in Targu Mures, with Mia Ristic currently at 100.0% on Polymarket. The second outcome, concerning whether the match will go over or under 2.5 sets, stands at 0.4%. Resolution will be based on official results from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 4, 2026, and any progress or results up to that date will be crucial.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Darja Semenistaja in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Darja Semenistaja. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Mia Ristic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and market structure. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create price shifts based on real-time sentiment and trading volume. These differences allow bettors to compare valuations and potentially find discrepancies between the two types of odds.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the officially recorded winner or final score from the match, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement aligned with real-world events.
Injuries, weather updates, or late-stage form shifts could sway this market as the match approaches. Key moments like player withdrawals, coaching changes, or even venue conditions may cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket. Traders will watch pre-match news, practice reports, and any last-minute announcements that hint at altering the contest's expected balance.