TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Nedic and Max Alcala Gurri in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Nedic' if Andrej Nedic advances against Max Alcala Gurri. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Andrej Nedic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Nedic and Max Alcala Gurri in the Targu Mures, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Nedic' if Andrej Nedic advances against Max Alcala Gurri. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Andrej Nedic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by decentralized trader consensus. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than sportsbooks during breaking news or injury announcements. However, sportsbooks benefit from professional oddsmakers and sharp bettors, sometimes pricing outcomes more efficiently. Comparing the two can reveal valuable arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed money is flowing.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the boxing event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official fight result, including any decisions by judges, referee stoppages, or technical outcomes. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for authoritative sources to report the final outcome. Traders should monitor official boxing organizations and reputable sports media for confirmation before the market closes.
Several catalysts could shift trader sentiment and prices leading up to the event. Fighter injury announcements, training camp updates, or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Weigh-in results, recent performance footage, or expert commentary from boxing analysts often influence market positioning. Changes in fighter odds at major sportsbooks can signal where professional money is moving. Media coverage highlighting either competitor's form, record, or stylistic matchup details may also drive trading activity. Close to the event date, last-minute lineup confirmations or venue changes could create volatility in this market.